Final A-League Ladder Standings Prediction Thread

[Gav...]

Well with three rounds and a couple of make up games to go what do u think the ladder will look at the end of the season?

Current Ladder

1. Adelaide - 30pts
2. Melbourne - 29pts
3. Central Coast - 28pts
4. Queensland - 26pts
-------------------------
5. Wellington - 25pts
6. Sydney - 20pts
7. Perth - 19pts
8. Newcastle - 15pts

My Predicted Final Ladder Standings

1. Adelaide - 40pts
2. Central Coast - 35pts
3. Melbourne - 34pts
4. Queensland - 30pts
-----------------------
5. Wellington - 29pts
6. Perth - 23pts
7. Sydney - 22pts
8. Newcastle - 16pts

That final ladder is given that these are the results for the rest of the season;

Make-Up Game #1
Adelaide bt Melbourne

Round 19
Adelaide bt Newcastle
Central Coast bt Queensland
Wellington bt Sydney
Perth draw Melbourne

Make-Up Game #2
Adelaide bt Queensland

Round 20
Melbourne draw Central Coast
Queensland draw Sydney
Wellington draw Adelaide
Perth bt Newcastle

Round 21
Melbourne bt Wellington
Queensland bt Perth
Sydney draw Newcastle
Central Coast bt Adelaide

 

[Redline]

Bottom 2 I think def will be Scum and Smurfs. I think Glory will make 6th and Nix 5th...The top 4 I dunno. I't all down to those makeup games. Once those are out of the way I think it will be a bit easier to tell who will finish where. Ideally, we need them to be draws. I think Qld will surprise us all and be a tight contender, and I think MV will do the Greg Norman. I do agree that the Reds will finish 1st, so will we finish 2nd? I'd like to think so, or will Qld get up for it?

 

[FFC Mariner]

CCM will be 2nd - will lose to Adelaide in the major semi and then do the tards at BT.

You read it here 1st people

 

[dru]

TBH I only see us winning against Qld, may be able to sneak draws against the others. about 32pts
I can't see nix beating the tards or adelaide so at most  28 pts
Roar I think will get two wins out of the last four games so also on 32pts
I think the tards will get 6 or 7 points from the last four games so 35pts
barrel boys to get at least 2 wins possibly 3 or 4 out of the run in so will comfortably take out the premiership for the second time.

of the other 3 I think it will stay much the same as now.

We will do a version 1 run to the finals, taking out qld over two legs followed up by the tards in melbourne before securing a second season in asia via the post season cup

 

[bulldogmariner]

4 points would secure a place in the finals. If Utd draw there two catch up games and we pick up 9 points in that period we could win the league. Qld always a tough game. Melbourne is close as well and we should have got a point in our last visit and we are strong with Utd. I think we will finish top 2!

 

[nero]

Reds
Mariners
Tards
Roar

Mariners 2nd hopefully. WE can beat Adelaide over two games and host the GF.

If we end up third we will beat QLD  home and away, but lose to Tards in the play-off.

 

[Jesus]

Am more confident on us beating adelaide than the others. I think we will draw against roar 1-1 despite dominating. Go down in melbourne by a goal, and beat adelaide by 2 at bluey

 

[marinermick]

Am more confident on us beating adelaide than the others. I think we will draw against roar 1-1 despite dominating. Go down in melbourne by a goal, and beat adelaide by 2 at bluey

we won't dominate qld

qld dominate almost every game they play

 

[marinersman]

I feel more confident against Adelaide and Melbourne than Queensland.

It's all those young blokes they have that just keep running and running. We're not mobile enough to keep up with them in midfield. But having said that, they still can't score regularly enough to win it.

If we fix our defence against Archie, we're alright against Melbourne and despite Adelaide's success this season, playing them doesn't worry me. Tactically, they seem predictable in the HAL.

 

[yellowcake]

Flung together a little spreadsheet to play with different eventualities. Obviously will get more accurate as speculated results are converted to historical. A few possible final ladders:

Home always wins
Melbourne 38
Adelaide 37
Mariners 34
Queensland 32
Phoenix 28
Sydney 26
Perth 22
Jets 18

Higher placed team always wins
Adelaide 42
Melbourne 41
Queensland 32
Mariners 31
Phoenix 28
Sydney 23
Perth 22
Jets 15

Top 4 at win at home, bottom 4 draw at home
Melbourne 39
Adelaide 37
Mariners 34
Queensland 32
Phoenix 27
Sydney 22
Perth 21
Jets 17

Other permutations done on request 

It is still mathematically possible for each team to miss the finals and every team down to Perth to make them. And any team down to Wellington could still win the Premiership.